To paraphrase Sir Winston Churchill, Zimbabwe is a tragedy wrapped in a disaster inside an outrage.

I don’t know about you, but I’ve been following the events in Zimbabwe for some time now.  It’s horribly fascinating to watch — kind of like watching a train wreck in slow motion.  The latest chapter in this disaster, is of course the cholera outbreak now in progress there.  The long, slow slide that’s been Zimbabwe for years, is now skiing downhill at breakneck speed. I’m wondering just how big the crash at the bottom is going to be.

The thing that was supposed to help the country get back on it’s feet, was the power-sharing “unity” government that was mediated by Thabo Mbeki of South Africa.  To hear ZANU-PF and the MDC-T arguing about the allocation of cabinet posts reminds me of a couple of four year olds arguing over who gets the bigger slice of cake.  Ok, so let’s solve it the way we did when I was growing up:  One cuts the cake, and the other chooses which piece they want.  Adopting this strategy would mean another argument between the parties over who would do the cutting, and who would do the choosing.  So flip a coin already.  Then of course, there would be an argument over who flipped the coin.  Let both sides look at the coin, then fly in one of the World Court judges from the Hague, or have the UN Secretary General flip it, or some other neutral party.  The bottom line is, get on with it.  People are dying.

Alternatively, you could get Robert Mugabe to go away.  Not likely, unless he gets a really sweet deal from some friendly country.  Give him a nice pension and house somewhere, and maybe he’ll leave.  It would  be *way* cheaper than a war – even a small war.

From the outside, it appears that one of the major sticking points is prosecution for all of the nasty things that have gone on there.  From the reports coming out of the country, there are possibly some crimes against humanity that have been committed there.  I’m sure that those doing the committing are going to try their utmost to maintain the status quo.

There are a number of countries now rattling their sabers demanding action.  If I was a neighboring government trying to cope with a massive influx of cholera infected, starving refugees, I’d probably rattle a saber or two myself.

My prediction:  it’s only a matter of time before Mugabe is gone — if he doesn’t go voluntarily, then he’s going to suffer an involuntary regime change, either from within, or without.  The people of Zimbabwe are in such dire straits, that *something* is going to happen, and relatively soon.  People are starving and dying of treatable diseases, and Mugabe is fiddling in the fashion of Nero.

Comments welcome.


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